Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: The monthly incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Brazil, was assessed. METHODS: A statistical model based on the discrete double Poisson distribution was proposed, including pairs of sine and cosine functions of time to account for seasonality...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:82c9dd51ddb54949a211e14a2b5e5f0f 2023-05-15T15:01:22+02:00 Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model Davi Casale Aragon José André Mota de Queiroz Edson Zangiacomi Martinez https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 https://doaj.org/article/82c9dd51ddb54949a211e14a2b5e5f0f EN eng Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT) http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822016000400515&lng=en&tlng=en https://doaj.org/toc/1678-9849 1678-9849 doi:10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 https://doaj.org/article/82c9dd51ddb54949a211e14a2b5e5f0f Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, Vol 49, Iss 4, Pp 515-519 Snakes Time series Poisonous animals Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 article ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 2022-12-31T03:20:29Z Abstract: INTRODUCTION: The monthly incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Brazil, was assessed. METHODS: A statistical model based on the discrete double Poisson distribution was proposed, including pairs of sine and cosine functions of time to account for seasonality and autoregressive terms. RESULTS: The analysis indicated a slight increase in the incidence of snakebites. The inclusion of two pairs of trigonometric functions seemed to be relevant in the model adjustment, given the seasonal pattern of the data. CONCLUSIONS: The snakebites occurred predominantly during the warm season, from November to April. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical 49 4 515 519 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
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English |
topic |
Snakes Time series Poisonous animals Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 |
spellingShingle |
Snakes Time series Poisonous animals Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Davi Casale Aragon José André Mota de Queiroz Edson Zangiacomi Martinez Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
topic_facet |
Snakes Time series Poisonous animals Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 |
description |
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: The monthly incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Brazil, was assessed. METHODS: A statistical model based on the discrete double Poisson distribution was proposed, including pairs of sine and cosine functions of time to account for seasonality and autoregressive terms. RESULTS: The analysis indicated a slight increase in the incidence of snakebites. The inclusion of two pairs of trigonometric functions seemed to be relevant in the model adjustment, given the seasonal pattern of the data. CONCLUSIONS: The snakebites occurred predominantly during the warm season, from November to April. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Davi Casale Aragon José André Mota de Queiroz Edson Zangiacomi Martinez |
author_facet |
Davi Casale Aragon José André Mota de Queiroz Edson Zangiacomi Martinez |
author_sort |
Davi Casale Aragon |
title |
Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
title_short |
Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
title_full |
Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
title_fullStr |
Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the State of São Paulo, Southeast Brazil, using a Bayesian time series model |
title_sort |
incidence of snakebites from 2007 to 2014 in the state of são paulo, southeast brazil, using a bayesian time series model |
publisher |
Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT) |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 https://doaj.org/article/82c9dd51ddb54949a211e14a2b5e5f0f |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, Vol 49, Iss 4, Pp 515-519 |
op_relation |
http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822016000400515&lng=en&tlng=en https://doaj.org/toc/1678-9849 1678-9849 doi:10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 https://doaj.org/article/82c9dd51ddb54949a211e14a2b5e5f0f |
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https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0138-2016 |
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Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical |
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