Scenario forecasting changes in the water balance components of the Olenek and Iindigirka river basins due to possible climate change

Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics for the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate change scenarios of SRES family which correspond to specified scenarios of economic, tec...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences
Main Authors: Ye. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, L. Ya. Dzhogan, E. E. Kovalev
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2015
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-13-2015
https://doaj.org/article/68c5ce9aa61b49f982a7dc2fff0b44c1
Description
Summary:Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics for the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate change scenarios of SRES family which correspond to specified scenarios of economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization. The projections have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the basins under consideration up to the year of 2063. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model for heat and mass exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.