A weather regime characterisation of Irish wind generation and electricity demand in winters 2009–11

Prolonged cold spells were experienced in Ireland in the winters of 2009–10 and 2010–11, and electricity demand was relatively high at these times, whilst wind generation capacity factors were low. Such situations can cause difficulties for an electricity system with a high dependence on wind energy...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Environmental Research Letters
Main Authors: Lucy C Cradden, Frank McDermott
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2018
Subjects:
Q
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabd40
https://doaj.org/article/5b6b15cd86b94670b5d8dbc9811052e5
Description
Summary:Prolonged cold spells were experienced in Ireland in the winters of 2009–10 and 2010–11, and electricity demand was relatively high at these times, whilst wind generation capacity factors were low. Such situations can cause difficulties for an electricity system with a high dependence on wind energy. Studying the atmospheric conditions associated with these two winters offers insights into the large-scale drivers for cold, calm spells, and helps to evaluate if they are rare events over the long-term. The influence of particular atmospheric patterns on coincidental winter wind generation and weather-related electricity demand is investigated here, with a focus on blocking in the North Atlantic/European sector. The occurrences of such patterns in the 2009–10 and 2010–11 winters are examined, and 2010–11 in particular was found to be unusual in a long-term context. The results are discussed in terms of the relevance to long-term planning and investment in the electricity system.