Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions

Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Nature Communications
Main Authors: Matthew B. Menary, Leon Hermanson
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2018
Subjects:
Q
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9
https://doaj.org/article/408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe
Description
Summary:Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.