Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina
This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on death...
Published in: | Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública |
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Main Author: | |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English Spanish Portuguese |
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Pan American Health Organization
2022
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2022.19 https://doaj.org/article/336cafbe78664d1e82d57d9862990067 |
Summary: | This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on deaths in Córdoba province were used to project excess deaths in Argentina from March 2020 up to the end of 2021. The number of excess deaths was estimated at 134 504, which is 14.8% higher than the reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Argentina for the same time period. |
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