Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina

This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on death...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública
Main Author: Ariel Karlinsky
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Spanish
Portuguese
Published: Pan American Health Organization 2022
Subjects:
excess mortality
covid-19
argentina
Medicine
R
Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine
RC955-962
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Arctic
Argentina
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.26633/RPSP.2022.19
https://doaj.org/article/336cafbe78664d1e82d57d9862990067
Description
Summary:This paper presents a method to estimate excess mortality where national data are missing for some or all of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period, but subnational data exist, such as in Argentina. By making use of the stability of the regional distribution of deaths, data on deaths in Córdoba province were used to project excess deaths in Argentina from March 2020 up to the end of 2021. The number of excess deaths was estimated at 134 504, which is 14.8% higher than the reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Argentina for the same time period.

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