Effects of River Geomorphology on River Ice Freeze-up and Break-up Rates Using MODIS Imagery

Evaluating driving factors of river ice freeze-up and break-up is critical for the understanding associated with river ice processes, as well as for providing a means to predict potential natural hazards of river ice formation or deformation. Spatiotemporal changes from fifteen years (2000–2015) of...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing
Main Authors: Thuan Chu, Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
French
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2019
Subjects:
T
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2019.1635004
https://doaj.org/article/26feb221a63541d5a48b95ab78a26205
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Summary:Evaluating driving factors of river ice freeze-up and break-up is critical for the understanding associated with river ice processes, as well as for providing a means to predict potential natural hazards of river ice formation or deformation. Spatiotemporal changes from fifteen years (2000–2015) of MODIS reflectance band 2 images were analyzed in pixel-wise linear regressions to be used as an indicator of the rates of ice freeze-up and break-up along the Slave River (Canada). The random forest algorithm was used to model the rates using river corridor slope, effective width, shape, and sinuosity as a set of predictor variables. The results reveal that the selected predictor variables can explain about 80% and 70% of the variations in ice freeze-up and break-up rates along the Slave River respectively. The slope was the most important factor in determining both freeze-up and break-up rates, followed by shape, effective width, and sinuosity. The spatiotemporal patterns of river freeze-up and ice-cover break-up obtained from the analysis of MODIS data and geomorphological variables show strong agreement with ground observations and hydrometeorological conditions along the Slave River.