Dynamical Causes of the 2010/11 Texas–Northern Mexico Drought ...

The causes of the Texas–northern Mexico drought during 2010–11 are shown, using observations, reanalyses, and model simulations, to arise from a combination of ocean forcing and internal atmospheric variability. The drought began in fall 2010 and winter 2010/11 as a La Niña event developed in the tr...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Seager, Richard, Goddard, Lisa M., Nakamura, Jennifer A., Henderson, Naomi L., Lee, Dong Eun
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: Columbia University 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.7916/d83b5znd
https://academiccommons.columbia.edu/doi/10.7916/D83B5ZND
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Summary:The causes of the Texas–northern Mexico drought during 2010–11 are shown, using observations, reanalyses, and model simulations, to arise from a combination of ocean forcing and internal atmospheric variability. The drought began in fall 2010 and winter 2010/11 as a La Niña event developed in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Climate models forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) produced dry conditions in fall 2010 through spring 2011 associated with transient eddy moisture flux divergence related to a northward shift of the Pacific–North American storm track, typical of La Niña events. In contrast the observed drought was not associated with such a clear shift of the transient eddy fields and instead was significantly influenced by internal atmospheric variability including the negative North Atlantic Oscillation of winter 2010/11, which created mean flow moisture divergence and drying over the southern Plains and southeast United States. The models suggest that drought continuation into summer 2011 ...