Data from: Will Current Protected Areas Harbour Refugia for Threatened Arctic Vegetation Types until 2050? A First Assessment ...

We present predictions of Arctic vegetation for 2050 based on a combination of climate models (namely, EC-Earth3-Veg, IPSL-CM6A-LR, and MRI-ESM2-0), emission scenarios (names, SSP126 and SSP585) and tree dispersal rate scenarios (unrestricted, 20km and 5km) based on the methods of Pearson et al. (20...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Reji Chacko, Merin, Oehri, Jacqueline, Plekhanova, Elena, Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela
Format: Dataset
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2022
Subjects:
vegetation type
arctic
protected areas
cavm
refugia
vegetation predictions
Arctic
CAFF
PAME
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6902763
https://zenodo.org/record/6902763
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Summary:We present predictions of Arctic vegetation for 2050 based on a combination of climate models (namely, EC-Earth3-Veg, IPSL-CM6A-LR, and MRI-ESM2-0), emission scenarios (names, SSP126 and SSP585) and tree dispersal rate scenarios (unrestricted, 20km and 5km) based on the methods of Pearson et al. (2013) and the new raster version of the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map (CAVM) (Raynolds et al. 2019). We additionally present a dataset summarising total areas for each vegetation type in the CAVM and the forecasted models based on the computation of zonal histograms in ArcGIS (zonal_histogram_results.csv), for the total Arctic as well as only within protected areas, defined by the Map of Arctic Protected Areas (CAFF and PAME 2017). We also present a potential map of refugia for what we deem the realistic model (IPSL, SSP585, 20 km tree dispersal) as a raster file. Refugia were identified as regions where the vegetation remained the same between the CAVM and the predictions. Additionally, we present a map of ... : We thank University of Zurich's URPP GCB for the funding which made this project possible. ...

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