Detection Of Linkages Between Extreme Flow Measures And Climate Indices

Large scale climate signals and their teleconnections can influence hydro-meteorological variables on a local scale. Several extreme flow and timing measures, including high flow and low flow measures, from 62 hydrometric stations in Canada are investigated to detect possible linkages with several l...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sharif, Mohammed, Burn, Donald
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: Zenodo 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1063248
https://zenodo.org/record/1063248
Description
Summary:Large scale climate signals and their teleconnections can influence hydro-meteorological variables on a local scale. Several extreme flow and timing measures, including high flow and low flow measures, from 62 hydrometric stations in Canada are investigated to detect possible linkages with several large scale climate indices. The streamflow data used in this study are derived from the Canadian Reference Hydrometric Basin Network and are characterized by relatively pristine and stable land-use conditions with a minimum of 40 years of record. A composite analysis approach was used to identify linkages between extreme flow and timing measures and climate indices. The approach involves determining the 10 highest and 10 lowest values of various climate indices from the data record. Extreme flow and timing measures for each station were examined for the years associated with the 10 largest values and the years associated with the 10 smallest values. In each case, a re-sampling approach was applied to determine if the 10 values of extreme flow measures differed significantly from the series mean. Results indicate that several stations are impacted by the large scale climate indices considered in this study. The results allow the determination of any relationship between stations that exhibit a statistically significant trend and stations for which the extreme measures exhibit a linkage with the climate indices. : {"references": ["Abdul Aziz, O.I. and Burn, D.H. 2006. Trends and variability in the\nhydrological regime of the Mackenzie River Basin. J. Hydrology 319:\n282-294.", "Andrea I. P. and Depetris, P.J. 2007. Discharge trends and flow\ndynamics of South American rivers draining the southern Atlantic\nseaboard: An overview. J. Hydrology 333, 385- 399.", "Burn, D.H. 1994. Hydrological effects of climatic change in west-central\nCanada. J. Hydrology 160, 53-70.", "Burn, D.H., Hag Elnur, M. A. 2002. Detection of hydrologic trend and\nvariability. J. Hydrology 255: 107-122.", "Burn, D.H., Cunderlik, J. M., and Pietroniro, A. 2004a. Hydrological\ntrends and variability in the Liard River Basin. Hydrological Sciences\nJournal 49(1), 53-67.", "Burn, D.H., Abdul Aziz, O. I., and Pietroniro, A. 2004b. A comparison\nof trends in hydrometeorological variables for two watersheds in the\nMackenzie River Basin. Canadian Water Resources Journal 29(4), 283-\n298.", "Burn, D. H., Hag Elnur, M. A. 2002. Detection of hydrologic trend and\nvariability. J Hydrology 255: 107-122", "Burns, D. A., Klaus, J., and Mchale, M. R. 2007. Recent climate trends\nand implications for water resources in the Catskill Mountain region,\nNew York, USA. Journal of Hydrology, 336, 155- 170", "Cayan, D. R., Redmond, K. T., Riddle, L. G. 1999. ENSO and\nhydrologic extremes in the western United States, J. Climate, 12, 2881-\n2893.\n[10] Cayan, D. R., Kammerdiener, S. A., Dettinger, M. D., Caprio, J.M.,\nPeterson, D. H. 2001. Changes in the onset of spring in the western\nUnited States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82 (3),\n399-415.\n[11] Chen, H., Guo, S., Chong, yu. Xu., Singh, V.P. 2007. Historical\ntemporal trends of hydro-climatic variables and runoff response to\nclimate variability and their relevance in water resource management in\nthe Hanjiang basin. J. Hydrology, 344, 171- 184.\n[12] Dery, S. J., Wood, E.F. 2004. Teleconnection between the Arctic\nOscillation and Hudson Bay river discharge. Geophysical Research\nLetters 31, L18205. Doi:10.1029/2004GL020729.\n[13] Dery, S. J., Wood, E.F. 2005. Decreasing river discharge in nortern\nCanada. Geophysical Research Letters 32, L10401.\nDoi:10.1029/2005GL022845.\n[14] Dettinger, M. D., D. R. Cayan, H. F. Diaz, Meko, D. M. 1998. Northsouth\nprecipitation patterns in western North America on interannual -\nto-decadal timescales, J. Climate, 11, 3095-3111.\n[15] Douglas, E. M., Vogel, R. M., Knoll, C. N. 2000. Trends in flood and\nlow flows in the United States: impact of spatial correlation. J.\nHydrology, 240, 90- 105.\n[16] Enfield, D. B., Mestas-Nunez, A. M., Trimble, P. J. 2001. The Atlantic\nmultidecadal oscillation and it-s relation to rainfall and river flows in the\ncontinental U.S., Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2077- 2080.\n[17] Fleming, S. W., Clarke, G. K. C. 2003. Glacial control of water\nresources and related environmental responses to climatic warming:\nempirical analysis using historical streamflow data from Northwestern\nCanada. Canadian Water Resources Journal 28(1), 69-86.\n[18] Fleming, S.W., Moore, R.D., Clarke, G.K.C. 2006. Glacier-mediated\nstreamflow teleconnections to the Arctic Oscillation. International J.\nClimatology 26, 619-636.\n[19] Garen, D. C. 1998. ENSO indicators and long-range climate forecasts:\nusage in seasonal streamflow volume forecasting in the western United\nStates, Eos Trans. AGU, 79(45), Fall Meet. Suppl., F325.\n[20] Gershunov, A., Barnett, T.P. 1998. ENSO influence on intraseasonal\nextreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United\nStates: Observations and model results. J. Climate, 11, 1575-1586\n[21] Hamlet, A.F., Lettenmaier, D.P. 1999. Columbia River streamflow\nforecasting based on ENSO and PDO climate signals. J. Water Res.\nPlann. and Manage., 125 (6), 333-341.\n[22] Hamlet, A.F., Huppert, D. Lettenmaier, D. P. 2002. Economic value of\nlong-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower, J.\nWater Res. Plann. Manage., 128, 91- 101.\n[23] Harvey, K.D., Pilon, P.J. and Yuzyk, T.R. 1999. Canada-s Reference\nHydrometric Basin Network (RHBN). In Partnerships in Water\nResources Management. Proceedings of the CWRA 51st Annual\nConference, Nova Scotia.\n[24] Helsel, D.R., Hirsch, R.M. 1992. Statistical methods in water resources.\nElsevier, Amsterdam, 522 pp.\n[25] Hess, A., Iyer, H., Malm, W. 2001. Linear trend analysis, a comparison\nof methods. Atmospheric Environment 35, 5211-5222.\n[26] Higgins, R. W., A. Leetmaa, Y. Xue, Barnston, A. 2000, Dominant\nfactors influencing the seasonal predictability of U.S. precipitation and\nsurface air temperature, J. Climate, 13, 3994-4017.\n[27] Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., Huntington, T.G. 2003. Changes in the\ntimings of high river flows in New England over the 20th century. J.\nHydrology 278, 244-252\n[28] Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W. 2006. Change in the timings of winterspring\nstreamflows in eastern North America, 1913-2002. Geophysical\nResearch Letters 33, L06402\n[29] Hoerling, M.P., Kumar, A., Zhong, M. 1997. El Nin\u02dco, La Nin\u02dca, and the\nnonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Climate 10, 1769-1786.\n[30] Hua, C., Guo, S., Xu, Chong-yu, Singh, V. P. 2007. Historical temporal\ntrends of hydroclimatic variables and runoff response to climatic\nvariability and their relevance in water resource management in the\nHanjiang basin. J. Hydrology, 344, 171- 184.\n[31] Hurrell, J.W., Kushnir, Y., Ottersen, G., Visbeek, M. (Eds.), 2003. The\nNorth Atlantic Oscillation: climate significance and environmental\nimpact. Geophysical Monograph Series, vol. 134. AGU, Washington,\nDC.\n[32] Kahya, E., Dracup, J. A. 1993. U.S. streamflow patterns in relation to El\nNin\u2566\u00a3o/Southern Oscillation, Water Resour. Res., 29, 2491-2503.\n[33] Kendall, M.G. 1975. Rank Correlation Measures, Charles Griffin,\nLondon, UK.\n[34] Knight, J.R., Folland, C.K., Scaife, A. A. 2006. Climate impacts of the\nAtlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters 33,\nL17706. doi:10.1029/2006GL026242.\n[35] Kundzewicz, Z.W., Robson, A.J. 2004.Change detection in hydrological\nrecords-a review of the methodlogy.Hydrological Sciences, 49 (1),7-19\n[36] Lindstrom, G., Bergstrom, S., 2004. Runoff trends in Sweden 1807-\n2002. Hydrological Sciences, 49 (1), 69-83.\n[37] Lin, H., Derome, J. 1998. A three-year lagged correlation between the\nNorth Atlantic Oscillation and winter conditions over the North Pacific\nand North America. Geophysical Research Letters 25, 2829-2832.\n[38] Lins, H.F., 1997. Regional streamflow regimes and hydro-climatology of\nthe United States. Water Resources Research 33 (7), 1655-1667.\n[39] Mann, H.B. 1945. Non-parametric tests against trend, Econometrica 13:\n245-259.\n[40] Mantua, N.J., Hare, S.R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J.M., Francis, R.C. 1997.\nA pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon\nproduction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78 (6),\n1069-1079.\n[41] Maurer, E.P., Lettenmaier, D.P., Mantua, N.J. 2004. Variability and\npotential sources of predictability of North American runoff. Water\nResources Research 40, W09306. doi:10.1029/2003WR002789\n[42] McCabe, G. J., Dettinger, M.D. 1999. Decadal variations in the strength\nof ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western U.S., Int. J.\nClimatol., 19, 1399- 1410.\n[43] Neal, E.G., Walter, M.T., Coffeen, C. 2002. Linking the pacific decadal\noscillation to seasonal stream discharge patterns in southeast Alaska. J.\nHydrology 263, 188-197.\n[44] Novotny, E.V., Stefan, H. G. 2007. Stream flow in Minnesota: Indicator\nof climate change. J. Hydrology 334, 319- 333\n[45] Serreze, M.C., Bromwich, D.H., Clark, M.P., Etringer, A.J., Zhang, T.,\nLammers, R. 2003. Large-scale hydro-climatology of the terrestrial\nArctic drainage system. Journal of Geophysical Research 107, 8160.\ndoi:10.1029/2001JD000919.\n[46] Singh, P., Kumar, V., Thomas, T., and Arora, M. 2008. Basin-wide\nassessment of temperature trends in northwest and central India.\nHydrological Science Journal, 53(2), 421-433\n[47] Stewart, I.T., Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D. 2005. Changes towards\nearlier streamflow timing across western North America. J. Climate 18,\n1136-1155\n[48] von Storch, H., Zwiers, F.W. 1999. Statistical Analysis in Climate\nResearch. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.\n[49] Westmacott, J.R., Burn, D.H. 1997. Climate change effects on the\nhydrologic regime within the Churchill-Nelson River Basin. J.\nHydrology 202, 263-279.\n[50] Whitfield, P.H., 2001. Linked hydrologic and climatic variations in\nBritish Columbia and Yukon. Environmental Monitoring and\nAssessment 67(1-2), 217-238.\n[51] Woolhiser, D. A., T. O. Keefer, Redmond, K.T. 1993. Southern\noscillation effects on daily precipitation in the southwestern united\nStates, Water Resour. Res., 29, 1287-1295.\n[52] Yue, S., Pilon, P.J., Phinney, B. and Cavadias, G. 2002. The influence\nof autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. J.\nHydrological Processes 16(9): 1807-1829.\n[53] Zhang,Q., Liu,C., XU, C.Y., XU, Y.P., Jiang, T. 2006. Observed trends\nof water level and Streamflow during past 100 years in the Yangtze\nRiver basin, China, J. Hydrolgy 324 (1-4).255-265\n[54] Zhang,X., Harvey, K.D., Hogg, W.D., Yuzyk, T.R. 2001. Trends in\nCanadian streamflow. Water Resouces Research 37 (4), 987-998.\n[55] Zhang Q, Liu C, Xu CY, Xu YP, Jiang, T. 2006. Observed trends of\nwater level and streamflow during past 100 years in the Yangtze River\nbasin, China. J. Hydrology 324 (1-4): 255-265"]}