Unicorn: U-Net for Sea Ice Forecasting with Convolutional Neural Ordinary Differential Equations ...

Sea ice at the North Pole is vital to global climate dynamics. However, accurately forecasting sea ice poses a significant challenge due to the intricate interaction among multiple variables. Leveraging the capability to integrate multiple inputs and powerful performances seamlessly, many studies ha...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Park, Jaesung, Hong, Sungchul, Cho, Yoonseo, Jeon, Jong-June
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: arXiv 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2405.03929
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.03929
Description
Summary:Sea ice at the North Pole is vital to global climate dynamics. However, accurately forecasting sea ice poses a significant challenge due to the intricate interaction among multiple variables. Leveraging the capability to integrate multiple inputs and powerful performances seamlessly, many studies have turned to neural networks for sea ice forecasting. This paper introduces a novel deep architecture named Unicorn, designed to forecast weekly sea ice. Our model integrates multiple time series images within its architecture to enhance its forecasting performance. Moreover, we incorporate a bottleneck layer within the U-Net architecture, serving as neural ordinary differential equations with convolution operations, to capture the spatiotemporal dynamics of latent variables. Through real data analysis with datasets spanning from 1998 to 2021, our proposed model demonstrates significant improvements over state-of-the-art models in the sea ice concentration forecasting task. It achieves an average MAE improvement ...