Unraveling the Global Teleconnections of Indian Summer Monsoon Clouds: Expedition from CMIP5 to CMIP6
We have analyzed the teleconnection of total cloud fraction (TCF) with global sea surface temperature (SST) in multi-model ensembles (MME) of the fifth and sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIP5 and CMIP6). CMIP6-MME has a more robust and realistic teleconnection (TCF and global SST) pa...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | unknown |
Published: |
arXiv
2021
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2109.07122 https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.07122 |
Summary: | We have analyzed the teleconnection of total cloud fraction (TCF) with global sea surface temperature (SST) in multi-model ensembles (MME) of the fifth and sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIP5 and CMIP6). CMIP6-MME has a more robust and realistic teleconnection (TCF and global SST) pattern over the extra-tropics (R ~0.43) and North Atlantic (R ~0.39) region, which in turn resulted in improvement of rainfall bias over the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region. CMIP6-MME can better reproduce the mean TCF and have reduced dry (wet) rainfall bias on land (ocean) over the ASM region. CMIP6-MME has improved the biases of seasonal mean rainfall, TCF, and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) over the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) region by ~40%, ~45%, and ~31%, respectively, than CMIP5-MME and demonstrates better spatial correlation with observation/reanalysis. Results establish the credibility of the CMIP6 models and provide a scientific basis for improving the seasonal prediction of ISM. : 12 pages, 4 main figures, 2 supplementary figures |
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