Understanding North Atlantic Climate Instabilities and Complex Interactions using Data Science ...
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a measure of sea-level atmospheric pressure variability, holds significant influence over weather patterns in North America and Northern Europe. A negative (positive) NAO value signifies increased cold air outbreaks and storm occurrences (reduced occurrenc...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | unknown |
| Published: |
arXiv
2020
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2001.10171 https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.10171 |
| Summary: | The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a measure of sea-level atmospheric pressure variability, holds significant influence over weather patterns in North America and Northern Europe. A negative (positive) NAO value signifies increased cold air outbreaks and storm occurrences (reduced occurrences) in these regions. NAO, a product of multiple climate factors, demonstrates intricate dynamics with sea surface temperature (SST) and sea ice extent (SIE). In this study, we adopt a data-driven approach to explore the complex interplay between NAO, SST, and SIE, revealing a critical instability rooted in positive feedback loops among these climate variables. Our statistical machine learning methodology examines the impacts of melting Arctic SIE and rising SST on NAO, thereby understanding the weather patterns across the North Atlantic region. The skewness analysis yields a negative skewness in NAO across various time intervals--daily, weekly, and monthly. This skewness, coupled with NAO's mean zero stationary ... : 18 pages, 8 figures ... |
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