Linking Gulf Stream air-sea interactions to the exceptional blocking episode in February 2019: a Lagrangian perspective ...

The development of atmospheric blocks over the North Atlantic-European region can lead to extreme weather events like heat waves or cold air outbreaks. Despite their potential severe impact on surface weather, the correct prediction of blocking lifecycles remains a key challenge in current numerical...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wenta, Marta, Grams, Christian M., Papritz, Lukas, Federer, Marc
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: ETH Zurich 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000663172
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/663172
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Summary:The development of atmospheric blocks over the North Atlantic-European region can lead to extreme weather events like heat waves or cold air outbreaks. Despite their potential severe impact on surface weather, the correct prediction of blocking lifecycles remains a key challenge in current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Increasing evidence suggests that latent heat release in cyclones, the advection of cold air (cold air outbreaks, CAOs) from the Arctic over the North Atlantic, and associated air-sea interactions over the Gulf Stream are key processes contributing to the onset, maintenance, and persistence of such flow regimes. To better understand the mechanism connecting air-sea interactions over the Gulf Stream with changes in the large-scale flow, we focus on an episode between 20 and 27 February 2019, when a quasi-stationary upper-level ridge was established over western Europe accompanied by an intensified storm track in the northwestern North Atlantic. During that time, a record-breaking ... : Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1) ...