Exploring the use of European weather regimes for improving user-relevant hydrological forecasts at the sub-seasonal scale in Switzerland ...
Across the globe, there has been an increasing interest in improving the predictability of sub-seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasts as they play a valuable role in medium- to long-term planning in many sectors such as agriculture, navigation, hydropower, and emergency management. However, these f...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
ETH Zurich
2023
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000622008 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/622008 |
| Summary: | Across the globe, there has been an increasing interest in improving the predictability of sub-seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasts as they play a valuable role in medium- to long-term planning in many sectors such as agriculture, navigation, hydropower, and emergency management. However, these forecasts still have very limited skill at the monthly time scale; hence this study explores the possibilities for improving forecasts through different pre- and post-processing techniques at the interface with a hydrological model (PREVAH). Specifically, this research aims to assess the benefit from European Weather Regime (WR) data into a hybrid forecasting setup, a combination of a traditional hydrological model and a machine learning (ML) algorithm, to improve the performance of sub-seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasts in Switzerland. The WR data contains information about the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the North-Atlantic European region, and thus allows the hydrological model to exploit ... : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 24 (10) ... |
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