Toward eliminating the decades‐old ”too zonal and too equatorward” storm‐track bias in climate models ...
Generations of climate models exhibit biases in their representation of North Atlantic storm tracks, which tend to be too far near the equator and too zonal. Additionally, models have difficulties simulating explosive cyclone growth. These biases are one of the reasons for the uncertainties in proje...
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| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | English |
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ETH Zurich
2023
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| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000596915 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/596915 |
| Summary: | Generations of climate models exhibit biases in their representation of North Atlantic storm tracks, which tend to be too far near the equator and too zonal. Additionally, models have difficulties simulating explosive cyclone growth. These biases are one of the reasons for the uncertainties in projections of future climate over Europe, and the underlying causes have yet to be determined. All three biases are shown to be related, and diabatic processes are pointed to as a likely cause. To demonstrate this, two hemispherically symmetric storm tracks forming downstream of an idealized sea surface temperature (SST) front on an aquaplanet are examined using the seamless weather and climate prediction model ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic and its grid refinement capabilities. The analyzed perpetual boreal winter has a global grid spacing of 20 km, two bi-directionally interacting grid nests over the Northern Hemisphere that refine the grid to 10-km spacing over much of the stormtrack and further to 5-km spacing near ... : Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (2) ... |
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