The Importance of Incorporating Landscape Change for Predictions of Climate-Induced Plant Phenological Shifts ...

Warming in the high Arctic is occurring at the fastest rate on the planet, raising concerns over how this global change driver will influence plant community composition, the timing of vegetation phenological events, and the wildlife that rely on them. In this region, as much as 50% of near-surface...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chisholm, Chelsea, Becker, Michael S., Pollard, Wayne H.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: ETH Zurich 2020
Subjects:
Ice
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000429134
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/429134
Description
Summary:Warming in the high Arctic is occurring at the fastest rate on the planet, raising concerns over how this global change driver will influence plant community composition, the timing of vegetation phenological events, and the wildlife that rely on them. In this region, as much as 50% of near-surface permafrost is composed of thermally sensitive ground ice that when melted produces substantial changes in topography and microbiome conditions. We take advantage of natural variations in permafrost melt to conduct a space-for-time study on Ellesmere Island in northern Canada. We demonstrate that phenological timing can be delayed in thermokarst areas when compared to stable ground, and that this change is a function of shifting species composition in these vegetation communities as well as delayed timing within species. These findings suggest that a warming climate could result in an overall broadening of blooming and leafing windows at the landscape level when these delayed timings are taken into consideration ... : Frontiers in Plant Science, 11 ...