The global economic impacts from permafrost thawing in the Arctic region ...
The Arctic is warming at more than double the global average. This has resulted in physical impacts in the region including the melting of perennially frozen ground (permafrost) which holds almost twice the carbon in the atmosphere. Permafrost thawing is not explicitly modelled in most of the latest...
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| Language: | English |
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Lancaster University
2023
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| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.17635/lancaster/thesis/2043 http://www.research.lancs.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/the-global-economic-impacts-from-permafrost-thawing-in-the-arctic-region(5db66d4f-af94-4def-b287-ac0657dac2c0).html |
| Summary: | The Arctic is warming at more than double the global average. This has resulted in physical impacts in the region including the melting of perennially frozen ground (permafrost) which holds almost twice the carbon in the atmosphere. Permafrost thawing is not explicitly modelled in most of the latest climate models, which informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Hence, the temperature projections from AR6 which are extensively used to inform policymakers and stakeholders in the public and private sector, could underestimate the projected physical and economic impacts. This thesis makes three contributions. First, it introduces a framework for assessing the global economic impacts from climate change in the Arctic region. Second, it describes PAGE22, an integrated assessment model which was developed to incorporate a permafrost carbon emulator and the persistent effects of temperature on economic production. The latter is complementary to the PAGE-ICE IAM which only ... |
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