Ensemble prediction distribution maps of macroalgae for current conditions and four climate change scenarios and high resultion bathymetry for Potter Cove, WAP, Antarctica ...

Species distribution models (SDM) predict species occurrence based on statistical relationships with environmental conditions. The R-package biomod2 which includes 10 different SDM techniques and 10 different evaluation methods was used in this study. Macroalgae are the main biomass producers in Pot...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jerosch, Kerstin, Scharf, Frauke Katharina, Deregibus, Dolores, Campana, Gabriela L, Zacher-Aued, Katharina, Pehlke, Hendrik, Abele, Doris, Quartino, Maria Liliana
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: PANGAEA 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dx.doi.org/10.1594/pangaea.854410
https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.854410
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Summary:Species distribution models (SDM) predict species occurrence based on statistical relationships with environmental conditions. The R-package biomod2 which includes 10 different SDM techniques and 10 different evaluation methods was used in this study. Macroalgae are the main biomass producers in Potter Cove, King George Island (Isla 25 de Mayo), Antarctica, and they are sensitive to climate change factors such as suspended particulate matter (SPM). Macroalgae presence and absence data were used to test SDMs suitability and, simultaneously, to assess the environmental response of macroalgae as well as to model four scenarios of distribution shifts by varying SPM conditions due to climate change. According to the averaged evaluation scores of Relative Operating Characteristics (ROC) and True scale statistics (TSS) by models, those methods based on a multitude of decision trees such as Random Forest and Classification Tree Analysis, reached the highest predictive power followed by generalized boosted models ... : Subproject: JE 680/1-1 ...