Grain-size evolution controls the accumulation dependence of modeled firn thickness

The net rate of snow accumulation b is predicted to increase over large areas of the Antarctica and Greenland ice sheets as the climate warms. Models disagree on how this will affect the thickness of the firn layer – the relatively low-density upper layer of the ice sheets that influences altimetric...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kingslake, Jonathan, Skarbek, Robert, Case, Elizabeth, McCarthy, Christine
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-13
https://tc.copernicus.org/preprints/tc-2022-13/
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Summary:The net rate of snow accumulation b is predicted to increase over large areas of the Antarctica and Greenland ice sheets as the climate warms. Models disagree on how this will affect the thickness of the firn layer – the relatively low-density upper layer of the ice sheets that influences altimetric observations of ice-sheet mass change and paleo-climate reconstructions from ice cores. Here we examine how b influences firn compaction and porosity in a simplified model that accounts for mass conservation, dry firn compaction, grain size evolution, and the impact of grain size on firn compaction. Treating b as a boundary condition and employing an Eulerian reference frame helps to untangle the factors controlling the b -dependence of firn thickness. We present numerical simulations using the model as well as simplified steady-state approximations to the full model, to demonstrate how the downward advection of porosity and of grain size are both affected by b , but have opposing impacts on firn thickness. The net result is that firn thickness increases with b and that the strength of this dependence increases with the surface grain size. We also quantify the circumstances under which porosity- and grain-size-advection balance exactly, which counter-intuitively renders steady-state firn thickness independent of b . These findings are qualitatively independent of the stress-dependence of firn compaction and whether the thickness of the ice-sheet is increasing, decreasing, or steady. They do depend on the grain-size dependence of firn compaction. Firn models usually ignore grain-size evolution, but we highlight the complex effect it can have on firn thickness when included in a simplified model. This work motivates future efforts to better observationally constrain the rheological effect of grain size in firn.