Weather Regimes and Preferred Transition Paths In a Three-Level . . .

Multiple flow regimes are reexamined in a global, three-level, quasi-geostrophic model with realistic topography in spherical geometry. This QG3 model, using a T21 triangular truncation in the horizontal, has a fairly realistic climatology for Northern Hemisphere winter, and exhibits multiple regime...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: D. Kondrashov, K. Ide, M. Ghil
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2003
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.8.4770
http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/tcd/PREPRINTS/KGIpaper.pdf
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Summary:Multiple flow regimes are reexamined in a global, three-level, quasi-geostrophic model with realistic topography in spherical geometry. This QG3 model, using a T21 triangular truncation in the horizontal, has a fairly realistic climatology for Northern Hemisphere winter, and exhibits multiple regimes that resemble those found in atmospheric observations. Four regimes are robust to changes in the classification method, k-means vs. mixture modeling, and its parameters. These regimes correspond roughly to opposite phases of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), respectively. The Markov