2008: Recent variability and trends of Antarctic near-surface temperature

[1] A new monthly 1 1 Antarctic near-surface temperature reconstruction for 1960– 2005 is presented. The use of numerical model fields to establish spatial relationships between fifteen continuous observational temperature records and the voids to which they are interpolated inherently accounts for...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andrew J. Monaghan, David H. Bromwich, William Chapman, Josefino C. Comiso
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.669.4623
http://polarmet.osu.edu/PMG_publications/monaghan_bromwich_jgr_2008.pdf
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Summary:[1] A new monthly 1 1 Antarctic near-surface temperature reconstruction for 1960– 2005 is presented. The use of numerical model fields to establish spatial relationships between fifteen continuous observational temperature records and the voids to which they are interpolated inherently accounts for the effects of the atmospheric circulation and topography on temperature variability. Employing a fixed observation network ensures that the reconstruction uncertainty remains constant in time. Comparison with independent observations indicates that the reconstruction and two other gridded observational temperature records are useful for evaluating regional near-surface temperature variability and trends throughout Antarctica. The reconstruction has especially good skill at reproducing temperature trends during the warmest months when melt contributes to ice sheet mass loss. The spatial variability of monthly near-surface temperature trends is strongly dependent on the season and time period analyzed. Statistically insignificant (p> 0.05) positive trends occur over most regions and months during 1960–2005. By contrast, 1970–2005 trends are weakly negative overall, consistent with positive trends in the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode (SAM) during summer and autumn. Subtle near-