THE GREENLAND LEE-LOW AND A FORECAST ERROR OF

Abstract: Forecasts of the 8 January Denmark Windstorm are compared. In a wrong forecast, the Greenland-lee low is far to shallow, there is less outflow of cold air from west of Greenland and consequently a poor development of the upper trough that fed the windstorm. The analysis of the forecasts an...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Haraldur Ólafsson, Einar Magnús Einarsson, Jón Egill Kristjánsson, Guðrún Nína Petersen
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2005
Subjects:
Icelandic low
forecast error
THORPEX
Greenland
Iceland
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.551.5789
http://www.map.meteoswiss.ch/map-doc/icam2005/pdf/poster-sesion-d/D42.pdf
Description
Summary:Abstract: Forecasts of the 8 January Denmark Windstorm are compared. In a wrong forecast, the Greenland-lee low is far to shallow, there is less outflow of cold air from west of Greenland and consequently a poor development of the upper trough that fed the windstorm. The analysis of the forecasts and an ETKF analysis support that a correct analysis of the atmosphere in the region between Iceland and Greenland would have been of importance to get a correct forecast of the windstorm over Denmark 3 days later.

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