An Agent-Based Model of Reoccurring Epidemics in a Population with Quarantine Capabilities

Even with todays modern scientific and medical breakthroughs, there exists the threat of a widespread epidemic. Could the Avian Flu wreck havoc on the human population like the Spanish Influenza nearly a century ago? Widespread epidemics have historically acted as a population control, as seen by th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Brendan Greenley
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.538.372
http://www.tjhsst.edu/~rlatimer/techlab09/GreenleyPaperQ3-09.pdf
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Summary:Even with todays modern scientific and medical breakthroughs, there exists the threat of a widespread epidemic. Could the Avian Flu wreck havoc on the human population like the Spanish Influenza nearly a century ago? Widespread epidemics have historically acted as a population control, as seen by the Black Plague. What characteristics are needed by a virus to successfully control a population but not risk completely wiping out its hosts? How do recurring epidemics control a population over long periods of time? If the behavior of individual agents changes, the outcome of an epidemic will also change, and the results can help paint a picture of what might happen in a real epidemic outbreak.