An Agent-Based Model of Reoccurring Epidemics in a Population with Quarantine Capabilities
Even with todays modern scientific and medical breakthroughs, there exists the threat of a widespread epidemic. Could the Avian Flu wreck havoc on the human population like the Spanish Influenza nearly a century ago? Widespread epidemics have historically acted as a population control, as seen by th...
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Format: | Text |
Language: | English |
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2009
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Online Access: | http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.538.372 http://www.tjhsst.edu/~rlatimer/techlab09/GreenleyPaperQ3-09.pdf |
Summary: | Even with todays modern scientific and medical breakthroughs, there exists the threat of a widespread epidemic. Could the Avian Flu wreck havoc on the human population like the Spanish Influenza nearly a century ago? Widespread epidemics have historically acted as a population control, as seen by the Black Plague. What characteristics are needed by a virus to successfully control a population but not risk completely wiping out its hosts? How do recurring epidemics control a population over long periods of time? If the behavior of individual agents changes, the outcome of an epidemic will also change, and the results can help paint a picture of what might happen in a real epidemic outbreak. |
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