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To get good understanding of an effect of stabilization of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, such as CO2, methane and CFCs, multi-century three-member ensemble global warming projections were conducted on the Earth Simulator using the optimized codes based on NCAR coupled climate model...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Koki Maruyama, Yoshikatsu Yoshida, Junichi Tsutsui, Norikazu Nakashiki, Keiichi Nishizawa, Hideyuki Kitabata, Dong-hoon Kim, Daisuke Tsumune, Jong-hwan Yoon
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Subjects:
global warming projections
IPCC SRES scenarios
stabilization and overshoot scenarios
long-term response of climate
Sea ice
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.537.6118
http://www.jamstec.go.jp/esc/publication/annual/annual2004/pdf/3project/chapter1/2maruyama.pdf
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Summary:To get good understanding of an effect of stabilization of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, such as CO2, methane and CFCs, multi-century three-member ensemble global warming projections were conducted on the Earth Simulator using the optimized codes based on NCAR coupled climate model CCSM3. For the projections, we applied two scenarios for the 21st century, stabilization and overshoot scenarios beyond the 21st century. We analyzed the long-term response of cli-mate system to stabilization levels of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. Future changes in surface air tempera-ture, sea ice volume, thermohaline circulation and sea level rise were projected including hysteresis effects in the climate sys-tem revealed through the projection experiment of the overshoot scenario.

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