Climate scenarios for studying risks to biodiversity in Europe

Environmental change scenarios for studying risks to biodiversity in Europe due to anthropogenic climate change have been developed in the EU-funded ALARM project. Time series of five climate variables (maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, cloudiness and humidity) interpolated to a regula...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Timothy R. Carter, Kirsti Jylhä, Stefan Fronzek
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.518.1804
http://web205.vbox-01.inode.at/esee2005/esee-files/esee_carter_paper.pdf
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Summary:Environmental change scenarios for studying risks to biodiversity in Europe due to anthropogenic climate change have been developed in the EU-funded ALARM project. Time series of five climate variables (maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, cloudiness and humidity) interpolated to a regular 10 ' grid, sea level for representative coastal sites, and CO2 concentration were constructed for the period 1901-2100. These combine observations from the 20th century with model projections for the 21st century. Scenarios are consistent with socio-economic storylines developed for ALARM, and include a high emissions case, CO2-stabilisation and an abrupt cessation of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. 1.