SUMMARY – Drought forecasting can potentially benefit from information related to large scale climatic indices like NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), that exerts a strong influence on the European climate. The study aims to investigate the potential use of NAO to improve drought forecasting in the M...
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| Format: | Text |
| Language: | English |
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| Online Access: | http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.507.2804 http://om.ciheam.org/om/pdf/a80/00800456.pdf |
| Summary: | SUMMARY – Drought forecasting can potentially benefit from information related to large scale climatic indices like NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), that exerts a strong influence on the European climate. The study aims to investigate the potential use of NAO to improve drought forecasting in the Mediterranean area. In particular the investigation focuses on Sicily region (Italy) through a preliminary correlation analysis oriented to assess the influence of NAO on Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) series. Then a stochastic model able to estimate the |
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