On smoothing potentially non-stationary climate time series

[1] A simple approach to the smoothing of a potentially non-stationary time series is presented which provides an optimal choice among three alternative, readily motivated and easily implemented boundary constraints. This method is applied to the smoothing of the instrumental Northern Hemisphere (NH...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Michael E. Mann
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Subjects:
31
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.364.2076
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannGRL04.pdf
Description
Summary:[1] A simple approach to the smoothing of a potentially non-stationary time series is presented which provides an optimal choice among three alternative, readily motivated and easily implemented boundary constraints. This method is applied to the smoothing of the instrumental Northern Hemisphere (NH) annual mean and coldseason North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) time series, yielding an objective estimate of the smoothed decadalscale variations in these series including long-term