Geology: Possible solar forcing of century-scale drought frequency in the northern Great Plains

ABSTRACT A 2100-yr decadal-resolution salinity and aridity proxy record of lacustrine ostracode-shell Mg/Ca ratios from a closed-basin lake in the northern Great Plains shows statistically significant periodicities of 400, 200, 130, and 100 yr. These periodicities are similar to the three principal...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zicheng Yu, Emi Ito
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
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Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.1071.6549
http://faculty.fgcu.edu/twimberley/EnviroPol/EnviroPhilo/Yu.pdf
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Summary:ABSTRACT A 2100-yr decadal-resolution salinity and aridity proxy record of lacustrine ostracode-shell Mg/Ca ratios from a closed-basin lake in the northern Great Plains shows statistically significant periodicities of 400, 200, 130, and 100 yr. These periodicities are similar to the three principal solar-oscillation periods (420, 218, 143 yr) as inferred from the atmospheric radiocarbon record, suggesting strong solar forcing of century-scale drought frequency with a fundamental 400-yr period and its 2nd, 3rd, and 4th harmonics. Our proxy record correlates visually and statistically (cross-spectral analysis) with the atmospheric ∆ 14 C record (solar proxy) and the GISP2 (Greenland Ice Sheet Project Two) δ 18 O record (climate proxy), showing that solar minima are in phase with drought periods in the northern Great Plains and cold periods in Greenland. This spectral similarity together with phase correlation indicates a possible teleconnection of century-scale global climate fluctuations through common solar forcing.