Indirect relationship between surface water budget and wetland extent

• Published in: Geophysical Research Letters
• Main Authors: de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, Poutou, Estelle, Chappellaz, Jérôme, J, Coe, Michael, Krinner, Gerhard
• Other Authors: Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA), Extrèmes : Statistiques, Impacts et Régionalisation (ESTIMR), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)), Laboratoire de glaciologie et géophysique de l'environnement (LGGE), Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Grenoble (OSUG), Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment (SAGE), Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison-University of Wisconsin-Madison
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2002
• Subjects: [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean; Atmosphere; [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces; environment; ice core
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-03126828; https://hal.science/hal-03126828/document; https://hal.science/hal-03126828/file/2001GL013929.pdf; https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013929

International audience We used a suite of two models: a global climate model, and a hydrological routing scheme, to estimate the changes in the surface water budget and extent of natural wetlands, at the last interglacial (126000 years ago) and at the last glacial maximum (21000 years ago). At both time periods, in northern tropical Africa as well as in northern South America, our simulations exhibit, in many places, an indirect relationship between the surface water budget and the extent of natural wetlands. In relatively moist regions, decreasing (increasing) rainfall and runoff at the last glacial maximum (last interglacial) result in increased (decreased) wetland area due to the reduction (increase) in lake depth. This counter‐intuitive result has never been hypothesized before and may shed a new light on the interpretation of past changes in atmospheric methane, as derived from ice core analyses. It also points to the importance of using a bottom‐up modelling approach in this field of study.