On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation

International audience Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum covariance analysis is used to further investigate the lin...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Environmental Research Letters
Main Authors: Santolaria-Otín, María, García-Serrano, Javier, Ménégoz, Martin, Bech, Joan
Other Authors: Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP ), Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: HAL CCSD 2020
Subjects:
[SDE]Environmental Sciences
Arctic
North Atlantic
North Atlantic oscillation
Sea ice
Online Access:https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03051668
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03051668/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03051668/file/santolaria_2020_ERL_NAO_snow-seaice.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abad57
Description
Summary:International audience Sea ice concentration (SIC) in the eastern Arctic and snow cover extent (SCE) over central Eurasia in late autumn have been proposed as potential predictors of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Here, maximum covariance analysis is used to further investigate the links between autumn SIC in the Barents-Kara Seas (BK) and SCE over Eurasia (EUR) with winter sea level pressure (SLP) in the North Atlantic-European region over 1979-2019. As shown by previous studies, the most significant covariability mode of SIC/BK is found for November. Similarly, the covariability with SCE/EUR is only statistically significant for November, not for October. Changes in temperature, specific humidity, SIC/BK and SCE/EUR in November are associated with a circulation anomaly over the Ural-Siberian region that appears as a precursor of the winter NAO; where the advection of climatological temperature/humidity by the anomalous flow is related to SCE/EUR and SIC/BK anomalies.

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