Mieux comprendre la dynamique des populations sauvages de saumon atlantique pour optimiser leur gestion. L'apport des modèles hiérarchiques Bayésiens

• Main Authors: Rivot, Etienne, Massiot-Granier, Félix, Prévost, Etienne, White, J., Chaput, G., Romakkaniemi, A., Pulkinnen, H., Pakkarinen, T., Mäntyniemi, Samu
• Other Authors: Écologie et santé des écosystèmes (ESE), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro), Ecologie Comportementale et Biologie des Populations de Poissons (ECOBIOP), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour (UPPA), Marine Institute, Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO), Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute, University of Helsinki, Fisheries and Environmental Management Group, Project co-funded by the European Commission within the Seventh Framework Programme (2007-2013), European Project: 244706
• Format: Other/Unknown Material
• Language: French
• Published: HAL CCSD 2014
• Subjects: [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology; Atlantic salmon; Iceland; North Atlantic
• Online Access: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01210267; https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01210267/document; https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01210267/file/2014_Rivot_Ecoknows_1.pdf

Localisation R 2536 il s'agit d'un type de produit dont les métadonnées ne correspondent pas aux métadonnées attendues dans les autres types de produit : REPORT National audience This deliverable is the French version of the NGO stakeholder paper for the Atlantic salmon case study. The paper is planned to be published in the French journal Sciences Eaux et Territoires (www.set-revue.fr). The modelling approach developed during the Ecoknows project in collaboration with the ICES Working Group on North Atlantic Salmon is reviewed. Models are being developed that provide improvement to the stock assessment models currently used by the ICES WGNAS and paves the way toward harmonizing the stock assessment models used in the Baltic (WGBAST) and in the North Atlantic (WGNAS). A life cycle model has been successfully developed in the Hierarchical Bayesian framework that brings a substantial contribution to A. salmon stock assessment on a broad ocean scale. The model captures the joint dynamics of all the populations considered by ICES for stock assessment in the five regions of the South Eastern-North Atlantic Ocean: France, England and Wales, Ireland and Northern Ireland, Scotland and Iceland. Results show that marine survival, has fluctuated markedly through time with a clear shift in 1990. Maturing probability after decades of increase is now slightly decreasing, indicating some fundamental changes in stocks biology or in their environment.Temporal fluctuations in key population dynamic parameters and abundances are quite synchronous across stocks and reinforce the hypothesis of a response to large scale environmental forcing during the marine phase of the life cycle.