Circumpolar genetic structure and recent gene flow of polar bears: A reanalysis

Recently, an extensive study of 2,748 polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from across their circumpolar range was published in PLOS ONE, which used microsatellites and mitochondrial haplotypes to apparently show altered population structure and a dramatic change in directional gene flow towards the Canadi...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:PLOS ONE
Main Authors: Malenfant, R.M. (René M.), Davis, C.S. (Corey S.), Cullingham, (Catherine), Coltman, D.W. (David W.)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ir.library.carleton.ca/pub/26102
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148967
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Summary:Recently, an extensive study of 2,748 polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from across their circumpolar range was published in PLOS ONE, which used microsatellites and mitochondrial haplotypes to apparently show altered population structure and a dramatic change in directional gene flow towards the Canadian Archipelago - an area believed to be a future refugium for polar bears as their southernmost habitats decline under climate change. Although this study represents a major international collaborative effort and promised to be a baseline for future genetics work, methodological shortcomings and errors of interpretation undermine some of the study's main conclusions. Here, we present a reanalysis of this data in which we address some of these issues, including: (1) highly unbalanced sample sizes and large amounts of systematically missing data; (2) incorrect calculation of FSTand of significance levels; (3) misleading estimates of recent gene flow resulting from non-