Arctic Ocean freshwater content and its decadal memory of sea-level pressure

Arctic freshwater content (FWC) has increased significantly over the last two decades, with potential future implications for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation downstream. We investigate the relationship between Arctic FWC and atmospheric circulation in the control run of a coupled cli...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors: Johnson, Helen L., Cornish, Sam B., Kostov, Yavor, Beer, Emma, Lique, Camille
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Amer Geophysical Union 2018
Subjects:
Arctic Ocean
climate change
interannual variability
freshwater
adjustment timescales
ocean dynamics
Arctic
Climate change
Online Access:https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00440/55117/56571.pdf
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00440/55117/56572.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1029/2017GL076870
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00440/55117/
Description
Summary:Arctic freshwater content (FWC) has increased significantly over the last two decades, with potential future implications for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation downstream. We investigate the relationship between Arctic FWC and atmospheric circulation in the control run of a coupled climate model. Multiple linear lagged regression is used to extract the response of total Arctic FWC to a hypothetical step increase in the principal components of sea‐level pressure. The results demonstrate that the FWC adjusts on a decadal timescale, consistent with the idea that wind‐driven ocean dynamics and eddies determine the response of Arctic Ocean circulation and properties to a change in surface forcing, as suggested by idealized models and theory. Convolving the response of FWC to a change in sea‐level pressure with historical sea‐level pressure variations reveals that the recent observed increase in Arctic FWC is related to natural variations in sea‐level pressure.

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