Controls on the strength and structure of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in climate models

State-of-the-art climate models simulate a large spread in the mean-state Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), with strengths varying between 12 and 25 Sv. Here, we introduce a framework for understanding this spread by assessing the balance between the thermal-wind expression and sur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nayak, Manali, Bonan, David, Newsom, Emily Rose, Thompson, Andrew F.
Format: Other/Unknown Material
Language:unknown
Published: Authorea, Inc. 2024
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Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/essoar.170957978.89231029/v1
Description
Summary:State-of-the-art climate models simulate a large spread in the mean-state Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), with strengths varying between 12 and 25 Sv. Here, we introduce a framework for understanding this spread by assessing the balance between the thermal-wind expression and surface water mass transformation in the North Atlantic. The intermodel spread in the mean-state AMOC strength is shown to be related to the overturning scale depth: climate models with a larger scale depth tend to also have a stronger AMOC. Intermodel variations in the overturning scale depth are also related to intermodel variations in North Atlantic surface buoyancy loss and stratification. We present a physically-motivated scaling relationship that links the scale-depth variations to buoyancy forcing and stratification in the North Atlantic, and thus connects North Atlantic surface processes to the interior ocean circulation. These results offer a framework for reducing mean-state AMOC biases in climate models.