A STAGE DISTRIBUTION APPROACH TO ESTIMATING ICE RELATED FLOODING PROBABILITIES 1

ABSTRACT: A procedure is presented for estimating flooding probabilities resulting from either open water or ice condition events. The methodology involves individually fitting a distribution function to water stages from open water and ice events and determining the composite probability of exceede...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
Main Author: Burn, Donald H.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Wiley 1989
Subjects:
Earth-Surface Processes
Water Science and Technology
Ecology
Yukon
Yukon river
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1989.tb05409.x
https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1752-1688.1989.tb05409.x
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1989.tb05409.x
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Summary:ABSTRACT: A procedure is presented for estimating flooding probabilities resulting from either open water or ice condition events. The methodology involves individually fitting a distribution function to water stages from open water and ice events and determining the composite probability of exceedence of any stage value. The parameters of the two distribution functions are estimated using censored maximum likelihood. The approach is evaluated with a Monte Carlo sampling program and is applied to estimate flooding probabilities on the Yukon River.

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