Modelling changes in volatility in the North Atlantic oscillation

Abstract The NAO index constructed from 1659 by Luterbacher et al. ( 2002 ) is analysed using time series techniques designed to model long memory and volatility. The index is found to have a positively correlated short memory in mean and to exhibit long memory in conditional variance: the ‘volatili...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Atmospheric Science Letters
Main Author: Mills, Terence C.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2004
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.66
https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fasl.66
https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/asl.66
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Summary:Abstract The NAO index constructed from 1659 by Luterbacher et al. ( 2002 ) is analysed using time series techniques designed to model long memory and volatility. The index is found to have a positively correlated short memory in mean and to exhibit long memory in conditional variance: the ‘volatility’ of the series. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society