Change in the dominant decadal patterns and the late 1980s abrupt warming in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere
Abstract Widespread abrupt warming in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere (NH) occurred in the late 1980s. This warming was associated with a change in the relative influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)‐like pattern and the Arctic Oscillation (AO)‐like pattern. The AO‐like pattern has...
| Published in: | Atmospheric Science Letters |
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| Main Authors: | , |
| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2010
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.275 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fasl.275 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/asl.275 |
| Summary: | Abstract Widespread abrupt warming in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere (NH) occurred in the late 1980s. This warming was associated with a change in the relative influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)‐like pattern and the Arctic Oscillation (AO)‐like pattern. The AO‐like pattern has had a dominant influence on the NH‐mean temperature since the late 1980s, whereas the influence of the PDO has weakened. The AO‐like mode appears as part of natural variability in the pre‐industrial simulations of the CMIP3/IPCC climate models. However, its emergence in the late 1980s was not simulated by most models with or without the observed increasing greenhouse effect in the 20th century. Copyright © 2010 Royal Meteorological Society |
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