Scenario planning tools for mitigating industrial impacts on First Nations subsistence economies in British Columbia, Canada

Abstract The Montney Play Trend (MPT) is a 1090 km 2 region in northeast British Columbia that produces approximately one-third of western Canada’s natural gas output. In response to a proposed expansion of the MPT in 2016, the Government of British Columbia launched a Regional Strategic Environment...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Sustainability Science
Main Authors: Natcher, David, Owens-Beek, Naomi, Bogdan, Ana-Maria, Lu, Xiaojing, Li, Meng, Ingram, Shawn, McKay, Ryan, Rice, Abigael
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Springer Science and Business Media LLC 2021
Subjects:
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Nature and Landscape Conservation
Sociology and Political Science
Ecology
Geography, Planning and Development
Health (social science)
Global and Planetary Change
British Columbia
Canada
Montney
Prince Rupert
Rupert
First Nations
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00969-0
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11625-021-00969-0.pdf
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-021-00969-0/fulltext.html
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Summary:Abstract The Montney Play Trend (MPT) is a 1090 km 2 region in northeast British Columbia that produces approximately one-third of western Canada’s natural gas output. In response to a proposed expansion of the MPT in 2016, the Government of British Columbia launched a Regional Strategic Environmental Assessment (RSEA) to identify the necessary conditions to achieve sustainable environmental outcomes. In this paper, we describe the methods and scenario planning tools that were developed to estimate how the development of the MPT might affect the subsistence economies of First Nations in the region. To demonstrate the utility of our approach, two impact assessments—Prince Rupert gas transmission pipeline and the Coastal GasLink pipeline—are presented. While no scenario can provide a definitive portrayal of exactly what will happen in the future, the tools that were co-developed are serving as an effective starting point for exploring possibilities that are at least consistent with current knowledge and can serve as a platform for collaborative learning and conflict management.

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