Hurricane Cycles and Trends
Abstract The prospect of “global warming” leading to a future with more frequent and intense hurricanes has surfaced in the public imagination (see, e.g., Schneider 1989, Easterbrook 1995). Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricanes have important implications for planning and development. Trends in...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Book Part |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Oxford University PressNew York, NY
1999
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195125085.003.0010 https://academic.oup.com/book/chapter-pdf/52435231/isbn-9780195125085-book-part-10.pdf |
| Summary: | Abstract The prospect of “global warming” leading to a future with more frequent and intense hurricanes has surfaced in the public imagination (see, e.g., Schneider 1989, Easterbrook 1995). Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricanes have important implications for planning and development. Trends in abundance, duration, location, and intensity of hurricanes are of concern to both public and private economic sectors. Social benefits may be realized through accurate predictions of future activity. Practical considerations aside, there is a desire to understand nature in terms of simple explanations. Given a set of observations it is natural and practical to examine it for regular patterns and trends. This chapter looks at the case for oscillations and long-term trends in North Atlantic hurricane activity. The presentation follows the work of Elsner et al. (1999b). |
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