Melting of ice shelves and the mass balance of Antarctica

Abstract We calculate the present ice budget for Antarctica from measurements of accumulation minus iceberg calving, run-off and in situ melting beneath the floating ice shelves. The resulting negative mass balance of 469 Gt year −1 differs substantially from other recent estimates but some componen...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Glaciology
Main Authors: Jacobs, S.S., Helmer, H.H., Doake, C. S. M., Jenkins, A., Frolich, R. M.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press (CUP) 1992
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Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000002252
https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143000002252
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Summary:Abstract We calculate the present ice budget for Antarctica from measurements of accumulation minus iceberg calving, run-off and in situ melting beneath the floating ice shelves. The resulting negative mass balance of 469 Gt year −1 differs substantially from other recent estimates but some components are subject to high temporal variability and budget uncertainties of 20–50%. Annual accumulation from an earlier review is adjusted to include the Antarctic Peninsula for a total of 2144 Gt year −1 . An iceberg production rate of 2016 Gt year −1 is obtained from the volume of large icebergs calculated from satellite images since 1978, and from the results of an international iceberg census project. Ice-shelf melting of 544 Gt year −1 is derived from physical and geochemical observations of meltwater outflow, glaciological field studies and modeling of the sub-ice ocean circulation. The highest melt rates occur near ice fronts and deep within sub-ice cavities. Run-off from the ice-sheet surface and from beneath the grounded ice is taken to be 53 Gt year −1 . Less than half of the negative mass balance need come from the grounded ice to account for the unattributed 0.45 mm year −1 in the IPCC “best estimate” of the recent global sea-level rise.