Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model
========================================================================= Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model ========================================================================= --- INTRODUCTION --- This dataset contains the dat...
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ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:8398772 2024-09-15T17:48:26+00:00 Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model Coulon, Violaine Klose, Ann Kristin Kittel, Christoph Edwards, Tamsin Turner, Fiona Winkelmann, Ricarda Pattyn, Frank 2023-10-02 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398772 unknown Zenodo https://zenodo.org/communities/eu https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398771 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398772 oai:zenodo.org:8398772 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode Ice-sheet modelling Antarctic ice sheet Sea-level projections info:eu-repo/semantics/other 2023 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.839877210.5281/zenodo.8398771 2024-07-26T16:08:22Z ========================================================================= Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model ========================================================================= --- INTRODUCTION --- This dataset contains the data and scripts required to reproduce the figures and tables presented in the study: "Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model" in The Cryosphere . We perform an ensemble of simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet between 1950 and 3014, forced by a panel of CMIP6 climate models, starting from present-day geometry with the Kori-ULB ice-sheet model v0.9. We calibrate our ensemble in a Bayesian framework to produce observationally-calibrated Antarctic projections used to investigate the future trajectory of the Antarctic ice sheet related to uncertainties in the future balance between sub-shelf melting and ice discharge on the one hand, and the surface mass balance on the other. All simulations are performed at a spatial resolution of 16 km. Hindcasts of the behaviour of the AIS over the period 1950-2014 CE are reproduced using changes in oceanic and atmospheric boundary conditions derived from the CMIP5 climate model NorESM1-M. As of the year 2015 CE, climate projections derived from a subset of CMIP6 climate models (MRI-ESM2-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, CESM2-WACCM and UKESM1-0-LL) are used as forcing until the year 2300 CE. Afterwards, no climate trend is applied. The forcing applied is derived from both the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5-8.5 and 1-2.6 scenarios. --- PROVIDED SCRIPTS: --- - 'KoriModelAll.m' and 'KoriInputParams.m': Kori-ULB ice flow model (more info at https://github.com/FrankPat/Kori-ULB) - 'Compute_Bayesian_Weight.m': calculation of the ensemble likelihood weights used in the Bayesian calibration. - 'Plot_parameter_space_distributions.m': calculation and plots of prior and posterior parameter probability distributions. - ... Other/Unknown Material Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Zenodo |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Zenodo |
op_collection_id |
ftzenodo |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Ice-sheet modelling Antarctic ice sheet Sea-level projections |
spellingShingle |
Ice-sheet modelling Antarctic ice sheet Sea-level projections Coulon, Violaine Klose, Ann Kristin Kittel, Christoph Edwards, Tamsin Turner, Fiona Winkelmann, Ricarda Pattyn, Frank Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
topic_facet |
Ice-sheet modelling Antarctic ice sheet Sea-level projections |
description |
========================================================================= Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model ========================================================================= --- INTRODUCTION --- This dataset contains the data and scripts required to reproduce the figures and tables presented in the study: "Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model" in The Cryosphere . We perform an ensemble of simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet between 1950 and 3014, forced by a panel of CMIP6 climate models, starting from present-day geometry with the Kori-ULB ice-sheet model v0.9. We calibrate our ensemble in a Bayesian framework to produce observationally-calibrated Antarctic projections used to investigate the future trajectory of the Antarctic ice sheet related to uncertainties in the future balance between sub-shelf melting and ice discharge on the one hand, and the surface mass balance on the other. All simulations are performed at a spatial resolution of 16 km. Hindcasts of the behaviour of the AIS over the period 1950-2014 CE are reproduced using changes in oceanic and atmospheric boundary conditions derived from the CMIP5 climate model NorESM1-M. As of the year 2015 CE, climate projections derived from a subset of CMIP6 climate models (MRI-ESM2-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, CESM2-WACCM and UKESM1-0-LL) are used as forcing until the year 2300 CE. Afterwards, no climate trend is applied. The forcing applied is derived from both the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5-8.5 and 1-2.6 scenarios. --- PROVIDED SCRIPTS: --- - 'KoriModelAll.m' and 'KoriInputParams.m': Kori-ULB ice flow model (more info at https://github.com/FrankPat/Kori-ULB) - 'Compute_Bayesian_Weight.m': calculation of the ensemble likelihood weights used in the Bayesian calibration. - 'Plot_parameter_space_distributions.m': calculation and plots of prior and posterior parameter probability distributions. - ... |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Coulon, Violaine Klose, Ann Kristin Kittel, Christoph Edwards, Tamsin Turner, Fiona Winkelmann, Ricarda Pattyn, Frank |
author_facet |
Coulon, Violaine Klose, Ann Kristin Kittel, Christoph Edwards, Tamsin Turner, Fiona Winkelmann, Ricarda Pattyn, Frank |
author_sort |
Coulon, Violaine |
title |
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
title_short |
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
title_full |
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
title_fullStr |
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
title_sort |
disentangling the drivers of future antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398772 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
op_relation |
https://zenodo.org/communities/eu https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398771 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8398772 oai:zenodo.org:8398772 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.839877210.5281/zenodo.8398771 |
_version_ |
1810289658803781632 |