Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior
Robust detection of anthropogenic climate change is crucial to: (i) improve our understanding of Earth system responses to external forcing, (ii) reduce uncertainty in future climate projections, and (iii) develop efficient mitigation and adaptation plans. Here, we use Earth system model projections...
Published in: | Scientific Reports |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | unknown |
Published: |
2023
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://zenodo.org/record/7867617 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 |
id |
ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:7867617 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:7867617 2023-06-11T04:14:30+02:00 Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior Jerry F. Tjiputra Jean Negrel Are Olsen 2023-02-21 https://zenodo.org/record/7867617 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 unknown info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820989/ info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/817578/ https://zenodo.org/record/7867617 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 oai:zenodo.org:7867617 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode Carbon cycle Climate and Earth system modelling info:eu-repo/semantics/article publication-article 2023 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 2023-05-30T22:57:23Z Robust detection of anthropogenic climate change is crucial to: (i) improve our understanding of Earth system responses to external forcing, (ii) reduce uncertainty in future climate projections, and (iii) develop efficient mitigation and adaptation plans. Here, we use Earth system model projections to establish the detection timescales of anthropogenic signals in the global ocean through analyzing temperature, salinity, oxygen, and pH evolution from surface to 2000 m depths. For most variables, anthropogenic changes emerge earlier in the interior ocean than at the surface, due to the lower background variability at depth. Acidification is detectable earliest, followed by warming and oxygen changes in the subsurface tropical Atlantic. Temperature and salinity changes in the subsurface tropical and subtropical North Atlantic are shown to be early indicators for a slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Even under mitigated scenarios, inner ocean anthropogenic signals are projected to emerge within the next few decades. This is because they originate from existing surface changes that are now propagating into the interior. In addition to the tropical Atlantic, our study calls for establishment of long-term interior monitoring systems in the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic in order to elucidate how spatially heterogeneous anthropogenic signals propagate into the interior and impact marine ecosystems and biogeochemistry. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Southern Ocean Zenodo Southern Ocean Scientific Reports 13 1 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Zenodo |
op_collection_id |
ftzenodo |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Carbon cycle Climate and Earth system modelling |
spellingShingle |
Carbon cycle Climate and Earth system modelling Jerry F. Tjiputra Jean Negrel Are Olsen Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
topic_facet |
Carbon cycle Climate and Earth system modelling |
description |
Robust detection of anthropogenic climate change is crucial to: (i) improve our understanding of Earth system responses to external forcing, (ii) reduce uncertainty in future climate projections, and (iii) develop efficient mitigation and adaptation plans. Here, we use Earth system model projections to establish the detection timescales of anthropogenic signals in the global ocean through analyzing temperature, salinity, oxygen, and pH evolution from surface to 2000 m depths. For most variables, anthropogenic changes emerge earlier in the interior ocean than at the surface, due to the lower background variability at depth. Acidification is detectable earliest, followed by warming and oxygen changes in the subsurface tropical Atlantic. Temperature and salinity changes in the subsurface tropical and subtropical North Atlantic are shown to be early indicators for a slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Even under mitigated scenarios, inner ocean anthropogenic signals are projected to emerge within the next few decades. This is because they originate from existing surface changes that are now propagating into the interior. In addition to the tropical Atlantic, our study calls for establishment of long-term interior monitoring systems in the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic in order to elucidate how spatially heterogeneous anthropogenic signals propagate into the interior and impact marine ecosystems and biogeochemistry. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jerry F. Tjiputra Jean Negrel Are Olsen |
author_facet |
Jerry F. Tjiputra Jean Negrel Are Olsen |
author_sort |
Jerry F. Tjiputra |
title |
Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
title_short |
Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
title_full |
Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
title_fullStr |
Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
title_full_unstemmed |
Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
title_sort |
early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://zenodo.org/record/7867617 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 |
geographic |
Southern Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Southern Ocean |
genre |
North Atlantic Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic Southern Ocean |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820989/ info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/817578/ https://zenodo.org/record/7867617 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 oai:zenodo.org:7867617 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0 |
container_title |
Scientific Reports |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1768392543958990848 |