Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period
Reliable estimates of adult survival for many shorebird species are lacking. We used Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) methods to provide an estimate of apparent, or local, survival (φ) of a population of Whimbrels, Numenius phaeopus , breeding in the subarctic Churchill, Manitoba region. We used data colle...
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ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:7641417 2024-09-15T18:02:05+00:00 Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period Ausems, Anne Perz, Johanna Johnson, Andrew Senner, Nathan Skeel, Margaret Nol, Erica 2023-02-14 https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 unknown Zenodo https://zenodo.org/communities/dryad https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 oai:zenodo.org:7641417 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/legalcode Cormack-Jolly-Seber model MARK return rates shorebirds inter-annual dispersal sex-dependent survival info:eu-repo/semantics/other 2023 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 2024-07-27T02:05:28Z Reliable estimates of adult survival for many shorebird species are lacking. We used Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) methods to provide an estimate of apparent, or local, survival (φ) of a population of Whimbrels, Numenius phaeopus , breeding in the subarctic Churchill, Manitoba region. We used data collected in two time periods: 1973–1976 and 2010–2014. We also quantified nest-site fidelity in 2010–2014 to provide context to our apparent survival estimates because mark-recapture analyses cannot distinguish between mortality and permanent emigration. The most parsimonious CJS model did not include effects of sex or time on apparent adult survival in either period (φ = 0.76 ± 0.13 SE; φ = 0.75 ± 0.04 SE, 1973 – 1976 and 2010 – 2014, respectively). Additionally, observations of marked Whimbrels between 2010 and 2019 (n = 124) showed that 61 of the 105 marked individuals (58.1%) were resighted. These estimates of return rates are, as expected, much lower than estimates of apparent survival. The median year-to-year distance between nests (n = 139) from 2010 to 2014 was 198 ± 88 m SE and did not differ significantly ( p = 0.84) between females ( x ̅ = 721.9 ± 119.8 m SE) and males ( x ̅ = 720.3 ± 83.1 m SE). If our apparent survival estimate is indicative of true survivorship, then adult mortality during the nonbreeding season has remained constant over the last five decades, implying that the recent decline in Whimbrel populations may stem largely from reduced fecundity, including egg or juvenile survival, rather than primarily from reduced adult survival. Funding provided by: Environment and Climate Change Canada Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100008638 Award Number: GCXE22C330 Funding provided by: Churchill Northern Studies Centre Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002877 Award Number: Funding provided by: Trent University Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000184 Award Number: Funding provided by: Arctic Audubon Society* Crossref Funder ... Other/Unknown Material Churchill Climate change Numenius phaeopus Subarctic Whimbrel Zenodo |
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Open Polar |
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ftzenodo |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Cormack-Jolly-Seber model MARK return rates shorebirds inter-annual dispersal sex-dependent survival |
spellingShingle |
Cormack-Jolly-Seber model MARK return rates shorebirds inter-annual dispersal sex-dependent survival Ausems, Anne Perz, Johanna Johnson, Andrew Senner, Nathan Skeel, Margaret Nol, Erica Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
topic_facet |
Cormack-Jolly-Seber model MARK return rates shorebirds inter-annual dispersal sex-dependent survival |
description |
Reliable estimates of adult survival for many shorebird species are lacking. We used Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) methods to provide an estimate of apparent, or local, survival (φ) of a population of Whimbrels, Numenius phaeopus , breeding in the subarctic Churchill, Manitoba region. We used data collected in two time periods: 1973–1976 and 2010–2014. We also quantified nest-site fidelity in 2010–2014 to provide context to our apparent survival estimates because mark-recapture analyses cannot distinguish between mortality and permanent emigration. The most parsimonious CJS model did not include effects of sex or time on apparent adult survival in either period (φ = 0.76 ± 0.13 SE; φ = 0.75 ± 0.04 SE, 1973 – 1976 and 2010 – 2014, respectively). Additionally, observations of marked Whimbrels between 2010 and 2019 (n = 124) showed that 61 of the 105 marked individuals (58.1%) were resighted. These estimates of return rates are, as expected, much lower than estimates of apparent survival. The median year-to-year distance between nests (n = 139) from 2010 to 2014 was 198 ± 88 m SE and did not differ significantly ( p = 0.84) between females ( x ̅ = 721.9 ± 119.8 m SE) and males ( x ̅ = 720.3 ± 83.1 m SE). If our apparent survival estimate is indicative of true survivorship, then adult mortality during the nonbreeding season has remained constant over the last five decades, implying that the recent decline in Whimbrel populations may stem largely from reduced fecundity, including egg or juvenile survival, rather than primarily from reduced adult survival. Funding provided by: Environment and Climate Change Canada Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100008638 Award Number: GCXE22C330 Funding provided by: Churchill Northern Studies Centre Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002877 Award Number: Funding provided by: Trent University Crossref Funder Registry ID: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000184 Award Number: Funding provided by: Arctic Audubon Society* Crossref Funder ... |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Ausems, Anne Perz, Johanna Johnson, Andrew Senner, Nathan Skeel, Margaret Nol, Erica |
author_facet |
Ausems, Anne Perz, Johanna Johnson, Andrew Senner, Nathan Skeel, Margaret Nol, Erica |
author_sort |
Ausems, Anne |
title |
Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
title_short |
Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
title_full |
Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
title_fullStr |
Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
title_full_unstemmed |
Consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of Whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada over a 40-year period |
title_sort |
consistent apparent adult survival and nest-site fidelity of whimbrel (numenius phaeopus) near churchill, manitoba, canada over a 40-year period |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 |
genre |
Churchill Climate change Numenius phaeopus Subarctic Whimbrel |
genre_facet |
Churchill Climate change Numenius phaeopus Subarctic Whimbrel |
op_relation |
https://zenodo.org/communities/dryad https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 oai:zenodo.org:7641417 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.wm37pvms3 |
_version_ |
1810439206955122688 |