Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake
p>As a major CO2 sink, the North Atlantic, especially its subpolar gyre region, is essential for the global carbon cycle. Decadal fluctuations of CO2 uptake in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre region are associated with the evolution of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Atlantic meridional over...
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Online Access: | https://zenodo.org/record/51489 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 |
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ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:51489 2023-05-15T17:26:19+02:00 Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake Li, Hongmei Ilyina, Tatiana Müller, Wolfgang A. Sienz, Frank 2016-03-30 https://zenodo.org/record/51489 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 unknown https://zenodo.org/communities/earthsystems https://zenodo.org/record/51489 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 oai:zenodo.org:51489 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode info:eu-repo/semantics/article publication-article 2016 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 2023-03-10T22:15:44Z p>As a major CO2 sink, the North Atlantic, especially its subpolar gyre region, is essential for the global carbon cycle. Decadal fluctuations of CO2 uptake in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre region are associated with the evolution of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, ocean mixing and sea surface temperature anomalies. While variations in the physical state of the ocean can be predicted several years in advance by initialization of Earth system models, predictability of CO2 uptake has remained unexplored. Here we investigate the predictability of CO2 uptake variations by initialization of the MPIESM decadal prediction system. We find large multi-year variability in oceanic CO2 uptake and demonstrate that its potential predictive skill in the western subpolar gyre region is up to 4ndash;7 years. The predictive skill is mainly maintained in winter and is attributed to the improved physical state of the ocean./p> Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Zenodo Nature Communications 7 1 |
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p>As a major CO2 sink, the North Atlantic, especially its subpolar gyre region, is essential for the global carbon cycle. Decadal fluctuations of CO2 uptake in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre region are associated with the evolution of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, ocean mixing and sea surface temperature anomalies. While variations in the physical state of the ocean can be predicted several years in advance by initialization of Earth system models, predictability of CO2 uptake has remained unexplored. Here we investigate the predictability of CO2 uptake variations by initialization of the MPIESM decadal prediction system. We find large multi-year variability in oceanic CO2 uptake and demonstrate that its potential predictive skill in the western subpolar gyre region is up to 4ndash;7 years. The predictive skill is mainly maintained in winter and is attributed to the improved physical state of the ocean./p> |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Li, Hongmei Ilyina, Tatiana Müller, Wolfgang A. Sienz, Frank |
spellingShingle |
Li, Hongmei Ilyina, Tatiana Müller, Wolfgang A. Sienz, Frank Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
author_facet |
Li, Hongmei Ilyina, Tatiana Müller, Wolfgang A. Sienz, Frank |
author_sort |
Li, Hongmei |
title |
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
title_short |
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
title_full |
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
title_fullStr |
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
title_full_unstemmed |
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake |
title_sort |
decadal predictions of the north atlantic co2 uptake |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://zenodo.org/record/51489 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://zenodo.org/communities/earthsystems https://zenodo.org/record/51489 https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 oai:zenodo.org:51489 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11076 |
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Nature Communications |
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7 |
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1 |
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1766117938047221760 |