Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants
Climate change is projected to influence the genetic resources of plant species. Recent research has examined genetic diversity patterns under current climate conditions, with little attention to the future genetic consequences for species. In this study, we combined ecological niche modeling and po...
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ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:5002239 2024-09-15T18:02:27+00:00 Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants Wróblewska, Ada Mirski, Paweł 2018-07-03 https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g unknown Zenodo https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3 https://zenodo.org/communities/dryad https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g oai:zenodo.org:5002239 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/legalcode Ecological Niche Modeling Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP range dynamics ITS neutral genetic diversity Last Glacial Maximum to 2018 Chamaedaphne calyculata refugia Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. carolinum info:eu-repo/semantics/other 2018 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3 2024-07-25T11:47:44Z Climate change is projected to influence the genetic resources of plant species. Recent research has examined genetic diversity patterns under current climate conditions, with little attention to the future genetic consequences for species. In this study, we combined ecological niche modeling and population genetic approaches to project future changes in genetic diversity using plastid and nuclear DNA and reconstructed distribution patterns of three circumboreal plants (Chamaedaphne calyculata, Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis, and Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. sceptrum-carolinum) in the last glacial maximum. We found that circumboreal plants could potentially lose their geographic ranges in the future (2070; 35–52% in RCP 4.5 (representative concentration pathways), 37–53% in RCP 6.0, and 56–69% in RCP 8.5), only slightly compensated by a predicted range gain of 18–33% (across the three RCPs). It is expected that future genetic diversity level could remain similar or lower than the present level. On the other hand, the homogeneity of the genetic background—a lack of admixture and domination of one gene pool in most populations of C. calyculata and L. borealis ssp. borealis—was predicted to become more pronounced in the future. Combining the paleoecological niche modeling and genetic data revealed, more precisely, the climate refugia for circumboreal plants in the Alps, central Asia, Beringia, and southern North America and the macrorefugia more restricted to the northern part of Eurasia and North America, reaching the arctic zone. AFLP_chamaedaphne calyculata AFLP_linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP_pedicularis sceptrum carolinum ssp. sceptrum carolinum Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. sceptrum-carolinum_MaxEnt input locations Linnea borealis ssp. borealis_MaxEnt input locations Chamedaphne calyculata_MaxEnt input locations Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp Chamaedaphne_POPS Chamaedaphne calyculata_NE North America_results_POPS MaxEnt_Chamaedaphne calyculata_Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis_Pedicularis ... Other/Unknown Material Climate change Beringia Zenodo |
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Ecological Niche Modeling Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP range dynamics ITS neutral genetic diversity Last Glacial Maximum to 2018 Chamaedaphne calyculata refugia Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. carolinum |
spellingShingle |
Ecological Niche Modeling Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP range dynamics ITS neutral genetic diversity Last Glacial Maximum to 2018 Chamaedaphne calyculata refugia Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. carolinum Wróblewska, Ada Mirski, Paweł Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
topic_facet |
Ecological Niche Modeling Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP range dynamics ITS neutral genetic diversity Last Glacial Maximum to 2018 Chamaedaphne calyculata refugia Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. carolinum |
description |
Climate change is projected to influence the genetic resources of plant species. Recent research has examined genetic diversity patterns under current climate conditions, with little attention to the future genetic consequences for species. In this study, we combined ecological niche modeling and population genetic approaches to project future changes in genetic diversity using plastid and nuclear DNA and reconstructed distribution patterns of three circumboreal plants (Chamaedaphne calyculata, Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis, and Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. sceptrum-carolinum) in the last glacial maximum. We found that circumboreal plants could potentially lose their geographic ranges in the future (2070; 35–52% in RCP 4.5 (representative concentration pathways), 37–53% in RCP 6.0, and 56–69% in RCP 8.5), only slightly compensated by a predicted range gain of 18–33% (across the three RCPs). It is expected that future genetic diversity level could remain similar or lower than the present level. On the other hand, the homogeneity of the genetic background—a lack of admixture and domination of one gene pool in most populations of C. calyculata and L. borealis ssp. borealis—was predicted to become more pronounced in the future. Combining the paleoecological niche modeling and genetic data revealed, more precisely, the climate refugia for circumboreal plants in the Alps, central Asia, Beringia, and southern North America and the macrorefugia more restricted to the northern part of Eurasia and North America, reaching the arctic zone. AFLP_chamaedaphne calyculata AFLP_linnaea borealis ssp. borealis AFLP_pedicularis sceptrum carolinum ssp. sceptrum carolinum Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp. sceptrum-carolinum_MaxEnt input locations Linnea borealis ssp. borealis_MaxEnt input locations Chamedaphne calyculata_MaxEnt input locations Pedicularis sceptrum-carolinum ssp Chamaedaphne_POPS Chamaedaphne calyculata_NE North America_results_POPS MaxEnt_Chamaedaphne calyculata_Linnaea borealis ssp. borealis_Pedicularis ... |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Wróblewska, Ada Mirski, Paweł |
author_facet |
Wróblewska, Ada Mirski, Paweł |
author_sort |
Wróblewska, Ada |
title |
Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
title_short |
Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
title_full |
Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
title_fullStr |
Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
title_full_unstemmed |
Data from: From past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
title_sort |
data from: from past to future: impact of climate change on range shifts and genetic diversity patterns of circumboreal plants |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g |
genre |
Climate change Beringia |
genre_facet |
Climate change Beringia |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3 https://zenodo.org/communities/dryad https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g oai:zenodo.org:5002239 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.n9h1g10.1007/s10113-017-1208-3 |
_version_ |
1810439905754480640 |