Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing

• Published in: The Cryosphere
• Main Authors: Van Achter Guillian, Ponsoni Leandro, Massonnet François, Fichefet Thierry, Vincent Legat
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: unknown
• Published: Zenodo 2020
• Subjects: Arctic sea ice; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3479-2020

We use model simulations from the CESM1-CAM5-BGC-LE dataset to characterise the Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability both spatially and temporally. These properties, and their stationarity, are investigated in three different contexts: (1) constant pre-industrial, (2) historical and (3) projected conditions. Spatial modes of variability show highly stationary patterns regardless of the forcing and mean state. A temporal analysis reveals two peaks of significant variability, and despite a non-stationarity on short timescales, they remain more or less stable until the first half of the 21st century, where they start to change once summer ice-free events occur, after 2050