Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes
One of the clearest manifestations of ongoing global climate change is the dramatic retreat and thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover. While all state-of-the-art climate models consistently reproduce the sign of these changes, they largely disagree on their magnitude, the reasons for which remain con...
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ftzenodo:oai:zenodo.org:1294678 2024-09-15T18:02:11+00:00 Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes Massonnet, François Vancoppenolle, Martin Goosse, Hugues Docquier, David Fichefet, Thierry Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth 2018-06-18 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z eng eng Zenodo https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0204-z https://rdcu.be/ZXmN https://zenodo.org/communities/applicate https://zenodo.org/communities/eu https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z oai:zenodo.org:1294678 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode Nature Climate Change, (2018-06-18) Sea ice Arctic CMIP5 process-oriented model evaluation climate change info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2018 ftzenodo https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z 2024-07-26T04:52:04Z One of the clearest manifestations of ongoing global climate change is the dramatic retreat and thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover. While all state-of-the-art climate models consistently reproduce the sign of these changes, they largely disagree on their magnitude, the reasons for which remain contentious. As such, consensual methods to reduce uncertainty in projections are lacking. Here, using the CMIP5 ensemble, we propose a process-oriented approach to revisit this issue. We show that intermodel differences in sea-ice loss and, more generally, in simulated sea-ice variability, can be traced to differences in the simulation of seasonal growth and melt. The way these processes are simulated is relatively independent of the complexity of the sea-ice model used, but rather a strong function of the background thickness. The larger role played by thermodynamic processes as sea ice thinsfurther suggests that the recentand projectedreductions in sea-ice thickness induce a transition of the Arctic towards a state with enhanced volume seasonality but reduced interannual volume variability and persistence, before summer ice-free conditions eventually occur. These results prompt modelling groups to focus their priorities on the reduction of sea-ice thickness biases. Article in Journal/Newspaper Climate change Sea ice Zenodo Nature Climate Change 8 7 599 603 |
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English |
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Sea ice Arctic CMIP5 process-oriented model evaluation climate change |
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Sea ice Arctic CMIP5 process-oriented model evaluation climate change Massonnet, François Vancoppenolle, Martin Goosse, Hugues Docquier, David Fichefet, Thierry Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
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Sea ice Arctic CMIP5 process-oriented model evaluation climate change |
description |
One of the clearest manifestations of ongoing global climate change is the dramatic retreat and thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover. While all state-of-the-art climate models consistently reproduce the sign of these changes, they largely disagree on their magnitude, the reasons for which remain contentious. As such, consensual methods to reduce uncertainty in projections are lacking. Here, using the CMIP5 ensemble, we propose a process-oriented approach to revisit this issue. We show that intermodel differences in sea-ice loss and, more generally, in simulated sea-ice variability, can be traced to differences in the simulation of seasonal growth and melt. The way these processes are simulated is relatively independent of the complexity of the sea-ice model used, but rather a strong function of the background thickness. The larger role played by thermodynamic processes as sea ice thinsfurther suggests that the recentand projectedreductions in sea-ice thickness induce a transition of the Arctic towards a state with enhanced volume seasonality but reduced interannual volume variability and persistence, before summer ice-free conditions eventually occur. These results prompt modelling groups to focus their priorities on the reduction of sea-ice thickness biases. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Massonnet, François Vancoppenolle, Martin Goosse, Hugues Docquier, David Fichefet, Thierry Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth |
author_facet |
Massonnet, François Vancoppenolle, Martin Goosse, Hugues Docquier, David Fichefet, Thierry Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth |
author_sort |
Massonnet, François |
title |
Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
title_short |
Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
title_full |
Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
title_fullStr |
Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
title_sort |
arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z |
genre |
Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Climate change Sea ice |
op_source |
Nature Climate Change, (2018-06-18) |
op_relation |
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0204-z https://rdcu.be/ZXmN https://zenodo.org/communities/applicate https://zenodo.org/communities/eu https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z oai:zenodo.org:1294678 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z |
container_title |
Nature Climate Change |
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8 |
container_issue |
7 |
container_start_page |
599 |
op_container_end_page |
603 |
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1810439538198183936 |