Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater futu...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2021
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Online Access: | https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/378656.pdf |
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ftvliz:oai:oma.vliz.be:353275 2023-05-15T13:42:51+02:00 Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets Payne, A.J. Nowicki, S. Abe-Ouchi, A. Agosta, C. Alexander, P. Albrecht, T. Asay-Davis, X. Aschwanden, A. Barthel, A. Bracegirdle, T.J. Calov, R. Chambers, C. Choi, Y. Cullather, R. Cuzzone, J. Dumas, C. Edwards, T.L. Felikson, D. Fettweis, X. Galton-Fenzi, B.K. Goelzer, H. Gladstone, R. Golledge, N.R. Gregory, J.M. Greve, R. Hattermann, T. Hoffman, M.J. Humbert, A. Huybrechts, P. Jourdain, N.C. Kleiner, T. Kuipers Munneke, P. Larour, E. Le Clec'h, S. Lee, V. Leguy, G. Lipscomb, W.H. Little, C.M. Lowry, D.P. Morlighem, M. Nias, I. Pattyn, F. Pelle, T. Price, S.F. Quiquet, A. Reese, R. Rückamp, M. Schlegel, N.-J. Seroussi, H. Shepherd, A. 2021 application/pdf https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/378656.pdf en eng info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000688759800065 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741 https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/378656.pdf info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess %3Ci%3EGeophys.+Res.+Lett.+48%2816%29%3C%2Fi%3E%3A+e2020GL091741.+%3Ca+href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1029%2F2020GL091741%22+target%3D%22_blank%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1029%2F2020GL091741%3C%2Fa%3E info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2021 ftvliz https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741 2022-07-06T22:23:36Z Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ): Open Marine Archive (OMA) Antarctic The Antarctic Greenland Geophysical Research Letters 48 16 |
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Open Polar |
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Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ): Open Marine Archive (OMA) |
op_collection_id |
ftvliz |
language |
English |
description |
Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Payne, A.J. Nowicki, S. Abe-Ouchi, A. Agosta, C. Alexander, P. Albrecht, T. Asay-Davis, X. Aschwanden, A. Barthel, A. Bracegirdle, T.J. Calov, R. Chambers, C. Choi, Y. Cullather, R. Cuzzone, J. Dumas, C. Edwards, T.L. Felikson, D. Fettweis, X. Galton-Fenzi, B.K. Goelzer, H. Gladstone, R. Golledge, N.R. Gregory, J.M. Greve, R. Hattermann, T. Hoffman, M.J. Humbert, A. Huybrechts, P. Jourdain, N.C. Kleiner, T. Kuipers Munneke, P. Larour, E. Le Clec'h, S. Lee, V. Leguy, G. Lipscomb, W.H. Little, C.M. Lowry, D.P. Morlighem, M. Nias, I. Pattyn, F. Pelle, T. Price, S.F. Quiquet, A. Reese, R. Rückamp, M. Schlegel, N.-J. Seroussi, H. Shepherd, A. |
spellingShingle |
Payne, A.J. Nowicki, S. Abe-Ouchi, A. Agosta, C. Alexander, P. Albrecht, T. Asay-Davis, X. Aschwanden, A. Barthel, A. Bracegirdle, T.J. Calov, R. Chambers, C. Choi, Y. Cullather, R. Cuzzone, J. Dumas, C. Edwards, T.L. Felikson, D. Fettweis, X. Galton-Fenzi, B.K. Goelzer, H. Gladstone, R. Golledge, N.R. Gregory, J.M. Greve, R. Hattermann, T. Hoffman, M.J. Humbert, A. Huybrechts, P. Jourdain, N.C. Kleiner, T. Kuipers Munneke, P. Larour, E. Le Clec'h, S. Lee, V. Leguy, G. Lipscomb, W.H. Little, C.M. Lowry, D.P. Morlighem, M. Nias, I. Pattyn, F. Pelle, T. Price, S.F. Quiquet, A. Reese, R. Rückamp, M. Schlegel, N.-J. Seroussi, H. Shepherd, A. Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
author_facet |
Payne, A.J. Nowicki, S. Abe-Ouchi, A. Agosta, C. Alexander, P. Albrecht, T. Asay-Davis, X. Aschwanden, A. Barthel, A. Bracegirdle, T.J. Calov, R. Chambers, C. Choi, Y. Cullather, R. Cuzzone, J. Dumas, C. Edwards, T.L. Felikson, D. Fettweis, X. Galton-Fenzi, B.K. Goelzer, H. Gladstone, R. Golledge, N.R. Gregory, J.M. Greve, R. Hattermann, T. Hoffman, M.J. Humbert, A. Huybrechts, P. Jourdain, N.C. Kleiner, T. Kuipers Munneke, P. Larour, E. Le Clec'h, S. Lee, V. Leguy, G. Lipscomb, W.H. Little, C.M. Lowry, D.P. Morlighem, M. Nias, I. Pattyn, F. Pelle, T. Price, S.F. Quiquet, A. Reese, R. Rückamp, M. Schlegel, N.-J. Seroussi, H. Shepherd, A. |
author_sort |
Payne, A.J. |
title |
Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_short |
Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_full |
Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_fullStr |
Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_sort |
future sea level change under coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 and phase 6 scenarios from the greenland and antarctic ice sheets |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/378656.pdf |
geographic |
Antarctic The Antarctic Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic Greenland |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
op_source |
%3Ci%3EGeophys.+Res.+Lett.+48%2816%29%3C%2Fi%3E%3A+e2020GL091741.+%3Ca+href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1029%2F2020GL091741%22+target%3D%22_blank%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1029%2F2020GL091741%3C%2Fa%3E |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000688759800065 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741 https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/378656.pdf |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091741 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
48 |
container_issue |
16 |
_version_ |
1766173400820088832 |