Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change
In this study, we compare the spatial patterns of simulated geocentric sea-level change to observations from satellite altimetry over the period 1993–2015 to assess whether a forced signal is detectable. This is challenging, as on these time scales internal variability plays an important role and ma...
Published in: | Environmental Research Letters |
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ftvliz:oai:oma.vliz.be:330290 2023-05-15T16:40:33+02:00 Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change Richter, K. Meyssignac, B. Slangen, A.B.A. Melet, A. Church, J.A. Fettweis, X. Marzeion, B. Agosta, C. Ligtenberg, S.R.M. Spada, G. Palmer, M.D. Roberts, C.D. Champollion, N. 2020 application/pdf https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/360692.pdf en eng info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000570728300001 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986e https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/360692.pdf info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess %3Ci%3EEnviron.+Res.+Lett.+15%289%29%3C%2Fi%3E%3A+094079.+%3Ca+href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fab986e%22+target%3D%22_blank%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fab986e%3C%2Fa%3E info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2020 ftvliz https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986e 2022-05-01T11:49:58Z In this study, we compare the spatial patterns of simulated geocentric sea-level change to observations from satellite altimetry over the period 1993–2015 to assess whether a forced signal is detectable. This is challenging, as on these time scales internal variability plays an important role and may dominate the observed spatial patterns of regional sea-level change. Model simulations of regional sea-level change associated with sterodynamic sea level, atmospheric loading, glacier mass change, and ice-sheet surface mass balance changes are combined with observations of groundwater depletion, reservoir storage, and dynamic ice-sheet mass changes. The resulting total geocentric regional sea-level change is then compared to independent measurements from satellite altimeter observations. The detectability of the climate-forced signal is assessed by comparing the model ensemble mean of the 'historical' simulations with the characteristics of sea-level variability in pre-industrial control simulations. To further minimize the impact of internal variability, zonal averages were produced. We find that, in all ocean basins, zonally averaged simulated sea-level changes are consistent with observations within sampling uncertainties associated with simulated internal variability of the sterodynamic component. Furthermore, the simulated zonally averaged sea-level change cannot be explained by internal variability alone—thus we conclude that the observations include a forced contribution that is detectable at basin scales. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ice Sheet Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ): Open Marine Archive (OMA) Environmental Research Letters 15 9 094079 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ): Open Marine Archive (OMA) |
op_collection_id |
ftvliz |
language |
English |
description |
In this study, we compare the spatial patterns of simulated geocentric sea-level change to observations from satellite altimetry over the period 1993–2015 to assess whether a forced signal is detectable. This is challenging, as on these time scales internal variability plays an important role and may dominate the observed spatial patterns of regional sea-level change. Model simulations of regional sea-level change associated with sterodynamic sea level, atmospheric loading, glacier mass change, and ice-sheet surface mass balance changes are combined with observations of groundwater depletion, reservoir storage, and dynamic ice-sheet mass changes. The resulting total geocentric regional sea-level change is then compared to independent measurements from satellite altimeter observations. The detectability of the climate-forced signal is assessed by comparing the model ensemble mean of the 'historical' simulations with the characteristics of sea-level variability in pre-industrial control simulations. To further minimize the impact of internal variability, zonal averages were produced. We find that, in all ocean basins, zonally averaged simulated sea-level changes are consistent with observations within sampling uncertainties associated with simulated internal variability of the sterodynamic component. Furthermore, the simulated zonally averaged sea-level change cannot be explained by internal variability alone—thus we conclude that the observations include a forced contribution that is detectable at basin scales. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Richter, K. Meyssignac, B. Slangen, A.B.A. Melet, A. Church, J.A. Fettweis, X. Marzeion, B. Agosta, C. Ligtenberg, S.R.M. Spada, G. Palmer, M.D. Roberts, C.D. Champollion, N. |
spellingShingle |
Richter, K. Meyssignac, B. Slangen, A.B.A. Melet, A. Church, J.A. Fettweis, X. Marzeion, B. Agosta, C. Ligtenberg, S.R.M. Spada, G. Palmer, M.D. Roberts, C.D. Champollion, N. Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
author_facet |
Richter, K. Meyssignac, B. Slangen, A.B.A. Melet, A. Church, J.A. Fettweis, X. Marzeion, B. Agosta, C. Ligtenberg, S.R.M. Spada, G. Palmer, M.D. Roberts, C.D. Champollion, N. |
author_sort |
Richter, K. |
title |
Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
title_short |
Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
title_full |
Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
title_fullStr |
Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
title_sort |
detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/360692.pdf |
genre |
Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Ice Sheet |
op_source |
%3Ci%3EEnviron.+Res.+Lett.+15%289%29%3C%2Fi%3E%3A+094079.+%3Ca+href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fab986e%22+target%3D%22_blank%22%3Ehttps%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fab986e%3C%2Fa%3E |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/000570728300001 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986e https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/360692.pdf |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986e |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
094079 |
_version_ |
1766030954153902080 |